The Generation and Use of Political Event Data
Author | : John Beieler |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : |
Release | : 2016 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:971058223 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 ( Downloads) |
Download or read book The Generation and Use of Political Event Data written by John Beieler and published by . This book was released on 2016 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The generation and use of political event data has become a fundamental part of modern political science research. Improving both parts of this equation, methods for generating and using event data, are crucial to advance the state of the art within political science. This dissertation endeavors to improve uponboth of these areas. The first two substantive chapters focus on generating event data in a real-time, open manner. The underlying algorithms to perform this coding are both parser-based, as seen in chapter two, and based on supervised learning and deep neural networks shown in chapter three. Finally, chapter four presents methods for using political data to forecast events of interest. This chapter deals with forecasting under conditions or rare, or unbalanced, outcome events. This final chapter proposes the use of synthetic sampling and various assessment metrics to improve forecasting performance.