Download or read book External and internal migration propensity index (MPI) for Honduras: Out-of-sample validation written by Ceballos, Francisco and published by Intl Food Policy Res Inst. This book was released on 2025-02-21 with total page 37 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The e-MPI and the i-MPI are tools to objectively estimate the probability that individuals from a given household will, respectively, migrate abroad or migrate domestically in the near future. We use new longitudinal data to test their effectiveness fully out of sample. We find good predictive power of each of these indices in terms of the respective type of migration they attempt to anticipate. Moreover, they perform well against alternative measures, work reasonably well for both rural and urban areas and in departments not included in the original calibration data, and appear to capture distinct aspects around households’ decisions to migrate domestically and abroad. Overall, the MPI seems to be an important addition to policymakers’ toolkit.