A practical guide to outguessing everything, from multiple-choice tests to the office football pool to the stock market. People are predictable even when they t

Why seismologists still can't predict earthquakes An earthquake can strike without warning and wreak horrific destruction and death, whether it's the catastroph

A young scholar tells the story of the physicists and mathematicians who created the models that have become the basis of modern finance and argues that these m

How do you predict something that has never happened before? There's a useful calculation being employed by Wall Street, Silicon Valley and maths professors all

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